Fibonacci Retracement Strategy – A Trading Secret You Need to Know
Introduction – A Curious Conversation
Tamili: Hey Parkavi! I’ve noticed that certain levels in stock prices seem to repeat. Is there any reason behind this?
Parkavi: Great observation, Tamili! Those levels are not random. Traders use a powerful tool called Fibonacci Retracement to identify them. It helps in finding support and resistance levels in the market.
What is Fibonacci Retracement?
Tamili: I’ve never heard of Fibonacci Retracement before. How does it work?
Parkavi: Fibonacci numbers follow a sequence where each number is the sum of the previous two:
Example: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13...
Traders use specific Fibonacci ratios to predict potential price reversal points. The most important ratios are:
- 23.6%
- 38.2%
- 50% (not derived from Fibonacci but widely used)
- 61.8% (Golden Ratio)
- 78.6%
Understanding Fibonacci Ratios
How Are Fibonacci Levels Derived?
Tamili: But where do these percentages come from?
Parkavi: Here’s how they are calculated:
- 23.6%: A number divided by another three places to the right. (Example: 8 / 34 = 0.2353)
- 38.2%: A number divided by a number two places to the right. (Example: 21 / 55 = 0.3818)
- 61.8% (Golden Ratio): A number divided by the next number. (Example: 34 / 55 = 0.6181)
- 78.6%: The square root of 61.8% (√0.618 ≈ 0.786)
Applying Fibonacci Levels in Trading
Step 1: Identifying Key Levels
Tamili: Can you give me a practical example?
Parkavi: Sure! Let’s assume:
- High = 100
- Low = 50
- Price range = 50
To find the 61.8% retracement level:
- 50 × 0.618 = 30.9
- 100 - 30.9 = 69.1
Other Fibonacci levels can be calculated in the same way.
Using Fibonacci Retracement in Daily Trading
Previous Day High & Low Strategy
Tamili: How can I use Fibonacci Retracement for daily trading?
Parkavi: Follow these steps:
- Mark the previous day’s high and low.
- Buy signal: If the price breaks above the previous day’s high.
- Sell signal: If the price falls below the previous day’s low.
0.618 Level Strategy – The Key to Winning Trades
Tamili: You mentioned 0.618 is important. How can I use it?
Parkavi:
- If the price breaks above 0.618 level, it indicates an uptrend, and you can go long.
- If the price falls below 0.618 level, it signals a downtrend, and you can go short.
Example:
- Previous day high = 120, Low = 80
- 0.618 Level = 95
So,
- Buy above 95 (Stop-loss at 85, Target at 110)
- Sell below 95 (Stop-loss at 105, Target at 85)
Risk Management – Trade Safely
Tamili: How can I manage risk while using Fibonacci levels?
Parkavi: Risk management is crucial in trading.
Entry Strategy
- Always wait for a confirmation candle before entering a trade.
Stop-Loss Strategy
- For long trades: Place the stop-loss below the previous swing low.
- For short trades: Place the stop-loss above the previous swing high.
Exit Strategy
- First target: Next Fibonacci level (0.5 or 0.382).
- Second target: Previous day high/low or a strong resistance zone.
Conclusion – The Power of Fibonacci in Trading
Tamili: Wow! Fibonacci Retracement is such a useful tool for trading. Thanks, Parkavi!
Parkavi: Absolutely! Start practicing and applying it in your trades. In the next session, we’ll see how to use it on real-time charts.
Tamili: Sounds great! Friends, if you found this strategy helpful, don’t forget to like, share, and subscribe! 😊
Discover how Fibonacci Retracement helps traders identify support and resistance levels in the stock market. Learn how to calculate Fibonacci ratios (23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6%), use the 0.618 level trading strategy, and apply risk management techniques. Perfect for intraday and swing trading!
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